Post-Conventional Wisdom: Missouri GOP Activists Say They Have Momentum
Now that the conventions in Tampa and Charlotte are over, Patch takes the pulse of our insiders about what worked and what didn't now that we're inside two months before election day.
According to a non-scientific Patch survey of GOP activists in Missouri, 75 percent of respondents said the Republican convention provided the party with the momentum it needs to get the base to turn out for what is expected to be a close election.
That's one of the findings in the most recent Patch Red Arch survey project, conducted September 10-12. Approximately 60 people were surveyed, and 28 people responded.
Tomorrow: Results from the Blue Arch Survey
When asked how they felt about Mitt Romney's chances of winning in November after having both conventions completed, 42.9 percent said their opinion hadn't changed since the conventions, another 42.9 percent said they were more confident than they were before the conventions and 14.3 percent said they were less confident.
Twenty-three respondents who volunteered their favorite GOP convention moments, and some mentioned more than one highlight: 4 specifically mentioned Florida U.S. Senator Marco Rubio's address, 4 mentioned Vice Presidential Nominee U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan, 3 cited Clint Eastwood's now famous address next to an empty chair meant to symbolize President Barack Obama, and 3 mentioned Ann Romney.
One person specifcally mentioned Mitt Romney's address.
When asked to admit a misstep at their own convention, 4 respondents mentioned Clint Eastwood's speech, although one of those only pointed out that his speech was too long.
Three respondents cited the way U.S. Rep. Ron Paul and his delegates were treated at the event, and 2 mentioned the absence of Missouri's GOP candidate for the U.S. Senate, Todd Akin, who stayed away from Tampa at the urging of party leaders who have distanced themselves from his candidacy since his comments about "legitimate rape" last month.
The Red Arch/Blue Arch Survey
Patch political surveys are not a scientific random sample of any larger population, but rather an effort to listen to a swath of influential local Republican and Democratic activists, party leaders and elected officials in Missouri. All of these individuals have agreed to participate in the surveys, although not all responded to this week's questions. Interviews for this poll were conducted Sept. 10-12.
Patch will be conducting Red Arch and Blue Arch surveys throughout 2012 in hopes of determining the true sentiment of conservatives, liberals and moderates on the ground in Missouri.
If you are an activist, party leader or elected official and would like to take part in a bi-weekly survey that lasts just a few minutes, please email Gregg.Palermo@patch.com.
The Red Arch Roster:
Ruth Springer (former Olivette Mayor), Frederic Steinbach (former Chesterfield Mayor), Randy Jotte (Candidate for Congress), Katy Forand (Gravois Township Committeewoman) Scott Rupp (State Senator/Secretary of State Candidate), Rick Stokes (Wentzville Alderman/State Rep. Candidate), Charlie Hinderliter (State Legislative campaign manager), Mark Parkinson (State Rep.), Chrissy Sommer (State Rep.), Jon Bennett (St. Charles Township Committeeman), Eugene Dokes (Chairman of St. Charles County Republican Central Committee), Chuck Gross (former State Senator), Cheryl Bates (St. Charles Young Republicans President), Penny Henke (St. Charles County Republican Central Committeewoman), Joe Cronin (St. Charles County Council), Terry Hollander (St. Charles County Council), Mike Nunnery (Republican voter), Jim Pepper (O'Fallon City Council), David Blanke (Lewis & Clark Republican Township Committeeman), Robyn Hamlin (Candidate for Congress), Don Bickowski (Jefferson County Council member), Linda Van De Riet (Jefferson County Republican Central Committee member), Renee Reuter (Jefferson County Council Member), D.J. Cully (Jefferson County Council candidate), Roy W. Sims (High Ridge Township Republican committeeman candidate), Celeste Witzel (GOP Committeewoman for the Oakville Township), Alan Leaderbrand (GOP Committeeman for the Lemay Township), Kourtney Lamb (President of the Brentwood Young Republicans), Dennis Broadbooks , (Wild Horse Township), Eileen Tyrrell (Meramec Township Member), Judy Hon (Chesterfield Township Committeewoman), Anne Gassel (Wild Horse Township Committeewoman), Chris Howard (Lafayette Township Committeeman/Convention Delegate), Kevin Rejent (Election Attorney), Richard C. Rowe (Republican voter), Rekha Sharma (State Rep. Candidate), Darin Morley (Reboot Congress blogger), Mark Zinn (GOP Consultant), Cynthia Davis (candidate for Lt. Governor), Sue Allen (State Rep.), Claire Chosid (Republican voter), John Diehl (State Rep.), Lee Presser (blogger/tv host), Gabe Jones (Communications Director, Ed Martin for Attorney General campaign), Carl Bearden (Former State Rep/Exec. Dir. United for Missouri), Michael Morton (Regional Political Director/Ann Wagner campaign), Christopher Brooks (Candidate For County Central Committee), Marsha Haefner (State Rep.), Cloria Brown (State Rep.), Philip Scherry (Rock Hill Alderman), Derek Michael Spencer (Regional Political Director/Brad Lager For Lt. Gov.), Brian Spencer (State Rep. candidate), Catherine Dreher (Candidate for Committeewoman candidate), Annette Read (Candidate, Missouri River Township GOP Committeewoman), Chris Gard (State Rep. candidate), Anthony Pousosa (St. Louis County Council candidate), Kit Crancer (Chief of Staff, State Senator Jane Cunningham), Cole McNary (Candidate for State Treasurer), Michael Burr (Creve Coeur Township Committee Candidate), Maria Burr (Creve Coeur Township Committee Candidate), Bill Stouffer (Candidate for Secretary of State), Tyler Holyfield (State Rep. Candidate), David Wissler (Gravois Township Committee candidate), Pat Walker (Maryland Heights Township Committee candidate), Maggie Walker (Maryland Heights Township Committee candidate), Scott Pinkham (Boone Township Committee candidate), Teresa Douglas (Lemay Township committee candidate), Larry McGowen (Wildwood City Council), Marc Perez (former State Rep. candidate)